The Helsinki Olympic Stadium will see Finland welcome Kazakhstan at 5:00pm on Tuesday for what could prove to be a crucial fixture in Euro 2024 qualifying Group H.
Both sides are currently sat on 12 points, in third and fourth place respectively, just four behind Slovenia and Denmark above them, meaning if results go the right way a win for either side would keep them in contention for a top-two finish.
Although both Finland and Kazakhstan are already assured of a play-off place due to Nations League performance, they will be eager to avoid the lottery and land an automatic spot instead, making this a game of great significance.
Finland are priced at 3/5 to take the points in Helsinki, with the visitors at 5/1 and the draw available at odds of 11/4.
With likely winners Finland priced so low and the under 2.5 goals market priced at a similarly unappealing 4/6, it is worth combining the two outcomes for odds of 21/10.
The likelihood of both teams to score seems low given both teams’ struggles in front of goal of late, but odds of 6/5 are available should you fancy both Finland and Kazakhstan to net in Helsinki.
Hosts Finland will be without Oliver Antmann, meaning Benjamin Kallman and Glen Kamara should continue in midfield.
Kazakhstan arrive in Helsinki with a full squad available, meaning they will be unlikely to change their usual starting XI too much.
Finland to win & under 2.5 total goals @ 21/10
Finland will be hoping to make the most of their home advantage here, having won two of their three home qualifiers so far, including an impressive 2-0 victory over current section-leaders Slovenia.
They were also victorious in the reverse fixture, winning 1-0 in Astana, and will be looking to bounce back following successive defeats and have a chance to do so against a side who are yet to beat them in six attempts.
Finland drew blanks in both of those losses and, with Kazakhstan failing to breach their backline in the last meeting, goals are likely to be at a premium in Helsinki and the under 2.5 market is one to utilise.
The hosts should be confident of beating the Hawks again and one goal may do the trick, with a correct score of 1-0 at odds at 9/2 also making some appeal.
Joel Pohjanpalo to score anytime @ 8/5
Given his side’s inability to find the back of the net in the previous two qualifiers, Markku Karneva will be looking to add some firepower and may reinstate Joel Pohjanpalo to the starting XI in an attempt to do so.
The Venezia forward has scored once in his three starts throughout qualifying and, should he be named in the starting line-up, will be looking to make an impact once again following consecutive substitute appearances.
Teemu Pukki is the more well-known goalscorer in the squad. however he has only managed one goal, while notching four assists, so he could be vital in creating chances for his likely striker-partner.
Pohjanpalo has netted three times in Serie B this season and could be the man to break Finland’s scoreless run.