Over 2.5 Goals Tips: 17/1 Accumulator for Saturday’s Matches

Football Bet of the Day for Thursday 3 August 2023

Five of the seven matches predicted here last week hit the Over 2.5 Goals mark, with Alfreton Town vs Worthing and Oxford United vs Maidenhead United letting us down for a 20/1 accumulator.

This week’s Over 2.5 Goals column sees us select one less game for a 15/1 sixfold across Saturday’s 3PM fixtures…

Leg 1 – Arsenal vs Burnley @ 4/9

This week’s column starts at the Emirates Stadium, where the Gunners have scored 15 of their 23 Premier League goals. The Over 2.5 Goals bet has won in five of their six league games at home, with a 1-0 win over leaders Manchester City the only blot on that particular copybook.

Mikel Arteta’s side swatted away Sheffield United 5-0 last time out at the Emirates, and Burnley are the only side as bad as the Blades so far, with each on four points. Sheffield United are also the only side to have conceded more goals than Burnley’s 27.

The Clarets have already shipped three at Everton and Brentford this term, and it would be no great surprise to see Arsenal at least match those sides with a 3-0 win.

Leg 2 – Leeds United v Plymouth Argyle @ 4/11

No Championship club has been involved in more games with Over 2.5 Goals than Plymouth Argyle, who have seen at least three goals in 11 of their 15 matches so far.

Meanwhile, Leeds are among the Championship’s highest scorers with 25 goals, and the Whites have seen Over 2.5 in over half (8/15) of their games.

Daniel Farke’s side will fancy their chances of claiming a fifth consecutive victory at Elland Road, but with eight goals in their last three games – including two at second-placed Ipswich Town – the Pilgrims can certainly land a blow on their opponents this weekend.

Leg 3 – Bolton Wanderers vs Blackpool @ 8/11

If you’re looking for goals in League One, there are few better places to visit than the Toughsheet Community Stadium this season.

28 goals have been scored in eight league games there, with no ground seeing this bet win more (7/8).

Bolton have generally come up trumps at home, but eight goals in their last three league games shows the threat Blackpool can pose, and only five sides have had the Over 2.5 come in more times than them.

Leg 4 – Derby County vs Barnsley @ 4/5

It’s not been the start to the season most Derby fans expected with the Rams sat seventh after 15 games, but their home form has been a source of optimism recently, with Paul Warne’s side unbeaten in five League One games there.

The last of those was a 4-0 win over Northampton Town, and the pressure will be on them to win again at home to a promotion rival.

Derby and Barnsley have both been involved in eight League One games with Over 2.5 Goals, with the Tykes the highest-scoring team in the division with 31.

Barnsley have also scored three in each of their last three games, while conceding five across their last two.

With the two sides looking to assert themselves as automatic promotion contenders, this looks unlikely to be a dull affair.

Leg 5 – Swindon Town vs Stockport County @ 4/7

We tipped both teams to score in Swindon’s game at Colchester United on Tuesday night, and after four goals there, there’s every reason to expect more goals at the County Ground this weekend.

Swindon’s defence has been all over the place in recent weeks, with Michael Flynn’s side conceding three to both Colchester and MK Dons, either side of a humiliating 7-4 home defeat to Aldershot Town in the FA Cup.

Only Newport County and Sutton United have been involved in more games with Over 2.5 Goals than Swindon in League Two this season, and the visit of league leaders Stockport should see that run continue.

As second top scorers in the division, Swindon will expect to get on the scoresheet at home, but Stockport are only one goal behind them and in scintillating form, winning their last 12 games in all competitions.

Leg 6 – Newport County vs MK Dons @ 4/6

As mentioned previously, no side in League Two has witnessed more games with Over 2.5 Goals than Newport this season (13/16).

This bet has won in 10 of MK Dons’ league games this season, and five of their last six games across all competitions.

Rodney Parade has produced an average of 3.9 goals per game in League Two this season, and the home side should be confident of scoring a few on Saturday against a defence that has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six.

We provide Accas throughout the week and have multiple columns of this type every Saturday. Make sure to check out all of our Football Accumulator Tips at the Acca hub page.