We have now enjoyed two double-digit winners for each of our Saturday Accumulator and BTTS Tips columns respectively, it is time for over Saturday Over 2.5 Goals column to step up and join the fun!
This week we go seven games deep, including matches from the Premier League all the way down to the National League South. This sevenfold is priced up at 25/1…
Over 2.5 Goals Tips – Saturday 21 October, 2023
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion @ 4/11
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Norwich City vs Leeds United @ 4/6
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town @ 4/5
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra @ 4/7
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Salford City vs Swindon Town @ 4/7
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Chesterfield vs Gateshead @ 4/9
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Tonbridge Angels vs Bath City @ 4/5
Overall Odds – 25/1
*Odds accurate as of Friday 20 October, 2023, 12:30.
Leg 1 – Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion @ 4/11
This is a game that is going to feature on a cluster of accumulators up and down the country this Saturday afternoon. I’m sure the traders are hoping it will be a coupon buster!
The visitors have a 100% BTTS record and when we look at the Over 2.5 statistics, that too is sitting at 100%. They both score and concede goals seemingly for fun.
Manchester City are a top side, with an array of attacking talent. They are better defensively than most teams but this game just feels like one where goals are prevalent. I’m not shocked at all the odds are so short.
Leg 2 – Norwich City vs Leeds United @ 4/6
Only the top two sides in the Championship have scored more goals than Norwich and only Southampton from the top-half have conceded more. So the home side are clearly a good candidate here.
For Leeds, they are just over 50% (6 of 11) for hitting the Over 2.5 mark so far in league games this season. They do however seem to up their game for this statistic away from home as three of their past four have seen this be a winner.
The last time Daniel Farke’s side stepped foot in East Anglia, they were on the winning side of a 3-4 scoreline at Portman Road. Whilst I’m not predicting seven goals here, three or four would not come as any surprise.
Leg 3 – Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town @ 4/5
It would be fair to say that Bolton are out of the toughest sides to get a handle on so far in the 23/24 campaign. They seem just as likely to lose big as they are to win big. The key word in that sentence is the one I repeated, however they play, goals seem to follow.
Only once in League 1 play has the Over 2.5 not come in for games at the Toughsheet Stadium and that was heavily influenced by a first-half red card. I think Bolton win but this could be a highly entertaining game and with the likes of Dion Charles on the pitch, expect plenty of goalmouth action.
Leg 4 – Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra @ 4/7
This is a double-up pick as it also features in my Saturday BTTS Tips Accumulator, therefore it will probably be the one that torpedoes both.
However, as I wrote in that piece, the visitors are averaging more than a goal every 45 minutes away from home through six games. In five of those games, they’ve scored at least twice, so it isn’t as though they went somewhere, grabbed a handful and skewed the data. Lee Ball’s side are extremely prolific and consistent on their travels.
When looking at the home side, they lost 0-1 at home last time out to Wrexham but here are their previous four results in all competitions at the Broadfield Stadium, 4-3, 4-1, 3-2 and 3-0. The overs came in every time and the home side did it themselves on all four occasions.
Leg 5 – Salford City vs Swindon Town @ 4/7
Salford earned my gratitude last week as they collapsed in the dying minutes down at the Racecourse Ground to give me an 18/1 winner for my Saturday accumulator column. One thing to note is that since they got knocked out of the EFL Cup, Neil Wood’s side have turned around their very dodgy form and coupled with that has been an influx of goals.
Only a 0-2 win at Sutton last month has been a game where the over hasn’t hit since that beating they took from Premier League Burnley. Only Crewe have scored more than Swindon so far this season and the Robins have played a game less. Should be a good one at the Peninsula Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Leg 6 – Chesterfield vs Gateshead @ 4/9
Another double-up pick as this one appears in my Saturday Accumulator Tips column. The visitors saw their manager depart for pastures new earlier in the week as Mike Williamson has taken charge at MK Dons. This will lead to uncertainty for Gateshead and Rob Elliott will be in caretaker charge on Saturday.
The former Newcastle goalkeeper doesn’t exactly have an easy task as they face top-of-the-table and top scorers in the National League, Chesterfield. Really tough to know where the players’ mindset will be at. I like a relatively comfortable home win here, 3 or 4-1.
Leg 7 – Tonbridge Angels vs Bath City @ 4/5
It feels like an absolute age since I last set foot in Longmead Stadium and having just sat here and thought about it, it must be 15 odd years. That doesn’t matter in terms of thinking about the acca but nice to just reminisce to myself.
The Angels are not in great form, having failed to win a game since the first weekend of September. They do however keep partaking in games where plenty of goals are scored. They’ve had 2-5, 0-3, 4-2 3-1 and 3-3 scorelines in their past eight.
Bath make the long trip over to Kent as the top scorers in the National League South. They’ve already made an appearance in one of my BTTS columns this season and subsequently played out a 0-0 draw, I’m hoping they don’t do the same here in an Over 2.5 one.